Futures Research Methodology


Online Foresight Guide

AC/UNU Millennium Project

Editors Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon

Version 2.0

ISBN: 0-9722051-1-X; about 700 pages, available on CD-ROM.

Price: $49.95 US dollars + shipping.

Order direct to help the project survive even longer:

www.acunu.org/millennium/issues.html

Abstract:

Comprehensive and internationally peer-reviewed handbook on tools and methods for forecasting and analysis of global change. Each chapter in this series gives an executive overview of each method's history, description, primary and alternative usages, strengths and weaknesses, use in combination with other methods, and speculation about future usage. Some also contain appendixes with applications and sources for further information. Over half of the 25 methods and series of methods presented were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to its evolution.

 

Contents:

  1. Introduction to the Futures Research Methods Series, Jerome C. Glenn
  2. Environmental Scanning, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
  3. The Delphi Method, Theodore J. Gordon
  4. The Futures Wheel, Jerome C. Glenn
  5. Trend Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
  6. Cross-Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
  7. Structural Analysis, Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier, Fabrice Roubelat
  8. The Systems Perspectives, Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer
  9. Decision Modeling, The Futures Group International
  10. Statistical Modeling, The Futures Group International
  11. Technology Sequence Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
  12. Relevance Trees and Morphological Analysis, The Futures Group International
  13. Scenarios, Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International
    • Interactive Scenarios, Theodore J. Gordon
  14. Participatory Methods, Jerome C. Glenn
  15. Simulation and Games, Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro
  16. Genius Forecasting, Vision, and Intuition, Jerome C. Glenn
  17. Normative Forecasting, Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn
  18. S&T Road Mapping, Theodore J. Gordon
  19. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR), R. Geoffrey Coyle
  20. Text Mining for Technology Foresight, Alan L. Porter
  21. Agent Modeling (demo software), Theodore J. Gordon
  22. State of the Future Index (SOFI) Method, Theodore J. Gordon
  23. SOFI System, Peter Yim
  24. The Multiple Perspective Concept, Harold A. Linstone
  25. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning, Michel Godet
  26. Causal Layered Analysis, Sohail Inayatullah
  27. Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn

Comments:

This is a very exhaustive toolkit of methodologies, which can be used in Foresight. It is important to state that Foresight has a wider scope encompassing the whole process of strategic policy advising and making use of methodologies developed in planning, networking, the management of group processes, knowledge management and organisational learning.