Steps in the evaluation

Online Foresight Guide

In general, Foresight exercises are evaluated against:

The following table explains of how the different steps of the evaluation relates achievements against the intended objectives (i.e. the "Logic Diagram" approach).


Relevance to evaluation

Overall Policy Objectives

Identifying the overall mission of organisations sponsoring Foresight, leading to a specific Foresight exercise and a range of other activities. Evaluation focuses on the relationship between these different activities.

Objectives of Foresight Exercise

The main goals selected for the Foresight activities, implicit goals remaining implicit, as well as goals added to the exercise during its operation. Evaluation examines how well all goals have been accomplished.

Main Activities Pursued in Foresight Exercise

The exercise will have a number of major activities that are being pursued. Evaluation examines how well the activities have contributed to achieving the Foresight objectives. Monitoring, in contrast, examines the detailed operation of the activities, how far milestones are being met, etc.

Immediate Effects

Evaluation examines the extent to which tangible output have been achieved (e.g. reports produced and circulated, meetings held and attended).

Intermediate Impacts

Evaluation, using methods such as interviews and surveys, with participants in the projects, with the "users" of their results, etc. asks questions such as: Have new networks been formed, have people changed their behaviour, have other organisations incorporated Foresight methods or results?

Ultimate Impacts

Evaluation will try to identify effects of the exercise on regional performance as a whole, although effects of diverse Foresight and other interventions may be difficult to disentangle.